Stockton JSNA


Carers

What is the projected level of need?

Estimates do not show substantial change in the number of people who might require care.  However, it cannot be assumed there will be relatively little increase in demand for carer support services.

Forecast number of working age people who might require carer support, Stockton, 2015 to 2025

 

2015

2020

2025

Total population

195,700

201,500

206,800

People aged 18-64 with moderate to severe learning disability

659

658

658

People aged 18-64 with mental health problems

20,610

20,673

20,536

People aged 18-64 with moderate to severe physical disabilities

12,233

12,420

12,371

(Source: PANSI – www.pansi.org.uk)

 

The relocation of the Stockton Carers Centre to a more central location has shown an increase in the number of carers registering for support from a previous average of 6 or 7 per week to 25 to 30 per week due to the higher visibility of the centre. This indicates that if carer support services are more widely promoted there will be a substantial increase in uptake. 

There is a projected increase of 25% in the older population (65 and over) during the next ten years.  In particular it is expected that the number of people aged over 90 will increase by nearly 80% by 2025.  This will impact on the need for support as the number of carers increases.  See the Forecasting page for details.

 

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